Asian stocks declined along with sovereign bonds after hawkish signaling from the Federal Reserve stirred concerns the US central bank would continue to raise interest rates.
(Bloomberg) — Asian stocks declined along with sovereign bonds after hawkish signaling from the Federal Reserve stirred concerns the US central bank would continue to raise interest rates.
Hong Kong shares underperformed the region, falling as much as 3.4%, as trading resumed after a holiday. Other benchmark indexes also declined, driving the MSCI Asia Pacific Index to the lowest since December. China is in the midst of a weeklong holiday.
The Australian dollar held an earlier loss and the country’s government bonds were little changed after the central bank held its policy rate unchanged for a fourth meeting on Tuesday, while warning that some further tightening of monetary policy may be required.
Meanwhile, bonds in Asia fell, with the yield on Australia’s 10-year bond remaining near the highest since 2011. The moves mirrored the slump in Treasuries after hawkish Fed messaging overtook earlier optimism about the deal to avoid a US government shutdown. Yields on five- to 30-year Treasuries all jumped about 10 basis points Monday, while those on the benchmark 10-year note climbed to the highest since 2007. Treasuries steadied in Asia Tuesday.
“Markets remain in a risk-off with higher-for-longer still reverberating as US data and central bank speakers remain marginally hawkish,” said Charu Chanana, a market strategist at Saxo Capital Markets. “Asset allocators, including the 60/40 ones, could face a tough choice, but we think bonds present a once in several decades kind of an opportunity to lock in yields.”
The selloff in global bonds gathered momentum as the US shutdown reprieve prompted traders to raise bets on a November rate hike from the Fed to a roughly one-in-three chance, up from the 25% likelihood priced on Friday.
Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said the biggest question before central bankers was how long to leave rates elevated, while known FOMC hawk Michelle Bowman reiterated her call for multiple hikes. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, who does not vote on monetary policy this year, said on Monday the central bank will likely need to raise rates once more this year and then hold them at higher levels for some time to get inflation back to its 2% target.
The dollar gained against most of its Group-of-10 peers after Bloomberg’s dollar index jumped 0.7% Monday. The greenback touched a year-to-date high versus the yen after the Bank of Japan said it would conduct an additional buying operation.
The yield on Japan’s 10-year bond slipped two basis points after the Ministry of Finance held an auction Tuesday.
New Zealand’s central bank on Wednesday is also expected to keep rates unchanged 10 days from a general election.
Meanwhile, China Evergrande Group defied the stock markets’ decline Tuesday, surging as much as 42% as it restarted trading after a halt last week.
Elsewhere, gold steadied after slipping to the lowest since March. Oil retreated, with West Texas Intermediate dropping below $90 a barrel. A Citigroup Inc. analyst said waning demand from China is poised to to cap the gains from OPEC+ supply cuts.
Key events this week:
- China has week-long holiday
- Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks on economic outlook and inflation, Tuesday
- US August JOLTS report, Tuesday
- New Zealand rate decision, Wednesday
- Eurozone services and composite PMIs, Wednesday
- ECB President Christine Lagarde gives welcome address at conference, Wednesday
- US ISM services index, Wednesday
- France industrial production, Thursday
- BOE Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent, Riksbank First Deputy Governor Anna Breman participate at panel discussion, Thursday
- US trade, initial jobless claims, Thursday
- San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks at the Economic Club of New York, Thursday
- Germany factory orders, Friday
- US unemployment rate, nonfarm payrolls, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:
- S&P 500 futures were little changed as of 1:05 p.m. Tokyo time. The S&P 500 was little changed
- Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed. The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.8%
- Japan’s Topix index fell 1.4%
- Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 3%
- Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index fell 1.2%
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%
- The euro was little changed at $1.0470
- The Japanese yen was unchanged at 149.86 per dollar
- The offshore yuan was little changed at 7.3279 per dollar
- The Australian dollar fell 0.3% to $0.6343
- Bitcoin fell 0.9% to $27,594.1
- Ether was little changed at $1,666.33
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.68%
- Japan’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 0.755%
- Australia’s 10-year yield advanced seven basis points to 4.56%
- West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.7% to $88.17 a barrel
- Spot gold fell 0.4% to $1,821.61 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Jason Scott.
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